An intuition:
The Star Trek "Novel-'verse" many of us have been reading - and some of us, writing - this past decade or so has been travelling down the road where Picard took Kirk's advice in Generations to heart and kept it there.
What we're about to see on TV or streaming video - depending on where we live - is what happened on the road where he set Kirk's advice aside for reasons that seemed to make sense when he made the choice.